statistical dead heat. 45%-42%. the margin of error is 3.5 percentage points. another big election barometer is which direction voters think maryland is going. 45% it is in the red direction. what is your family's financial situation? 7% say better than a year ago. 61% say it is about the same. as for the important issues, topping the list, the economy. 52% say the economy is the most important issue. seven %, education. seven %, traffic congestion. five %, taxes. both campaigns have released statements about this poll showing o'malley ahead.